Ajax vs Excelsior: result 7-1 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2022 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
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What was the result of Ajax vs Excelsior?
Ajax won 7-1 on October 16, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 15′J. SánchezAjax
- 26′S. BerghuisAjax
- 44′B. BrobbeyAjax
- 59′B. BrobbeyAjax
- 64′D. TadićAjax
- 75′S. BergwijnAjax
- 81′M. KudusAjax
- 90′N. AgrafiotisExcelsior
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Excelsior have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | Napoli(away) | 2-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 8, 2022 | FC Volendam(away) | 4-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Napoli(home) | 1-6 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2022 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Utrecht(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Emmen(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Waalwijk(away) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ajax win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Excelsior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2019 | Ajax 6-2 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Excelsior 1-7 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| May 6, 2018 | Excelsior 1-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Dec 14, 2017 | Ajax 3-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Excelsior 1-1 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Ajax 1-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 2.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 1.4 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 2.6 | 1.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Excelsior | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 5th in Eredivisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Excelsior sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy