Ajax vs Real Madrid: result 1-4 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 2Kick-off on October 3, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Amsterdam ArenA, Amsterdam
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What was the result of Ajax vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid won 1-4 on October 3, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 42′Cristiano RonaldoReal Madrid
- 48′K. BenzemaReal Madrid
- 56′N. MoisanderAjax
- 79′Cristiano RonaldoReal Madrid
- 81′Cristiano RonaldoReal Madrid
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Real Madrid have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | Twente(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 23, 2012 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Waalwijk(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Heerenveen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2012 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 5-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 24, 2012 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Manchester City(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Sevilla(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Granada CF(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ajax win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Real Madrid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2011 | Ajax 0-3 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Real Madrid 3-0 Ajax | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 2.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 2.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 2.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Madrid | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 32nd in UEFA Champions League (6 points from 8 matches) and Real Madrid sit 9th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy