Ajka vs BVSC: prediction and stats
NB IIRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ajkai Városi Sportcentrum, Ajka
The Footlab model makes BVSC the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Ajka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ajka vs BVSC?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Ajka (1,589) and BVSC (1,623).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajka have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; BVSC have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(home) | 2-0 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Diosgyori VTK(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karcag SE(home) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kecskeméti TE(home) | 3-1 | NB II |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Csakvar(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karcag SE(home) | 1-4 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mezokovesd-zsory(away) | 0-1 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kecskeméti TE(home) | 0-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kazincbarcikai(home) | 0-0 | NB II |
| May 17, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 4-1 | NB II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ajka win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 BVSC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Ajka 0-2 BVSC | NB II |
| Jul 27, 2025 | BVSC 4-0 Ajka | NB II |
| May 18, 2025 | BVSC 0-0 Ajka | NB II |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Ajka 2-1 BVSC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Ajka 0-1 BVSC | NB II |
| Apr 7, 2024 | BVSC 0-2 Ajka | NB II |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajka score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; BVSC score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajka | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| BVSC | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajka sit 6th in NB II (8 points from 4 matches) and BVSC sit 15th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ajka | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | BVSC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ajka vs BVSC?
- The Footlab model makes BVSC the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Ajka.
- Where and when is Ajka vs BVSC played?
- Ajka vs BVSC is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ajkai Városi Sportcentrum, in the NB II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.