Ajka vs Gyirmot SE: prediction and stats
NB IIRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ajkai Városi Sportcentrum, Ajka
The Footlab model makes Gyirmot SE the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ajka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ajka vs Gyirmot SE?
Gyirmot SE starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajka have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gyirmot SE have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(home) | 2-0 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Diosgyori VTK(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karcag SE(home) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kecskeméti TE(home) | 3-1 | NB II |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Csakvar(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kecskeméti TE(home) | 1-4 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Szeged 2011(away) | 1-0 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kazincbarcikai(home) | 2-2 | NB II |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kozarmisleny FC(home) | 2-1 | NB II |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Csakvar(home) | 3-1 | NB II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ajka win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gyirmot SE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Gyirmot SE 0-1 Ajka | NB II |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Ajka 1-0 Gyirmot SE | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Ajka 3-1 Gyirmot SE | NB II |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Gyirmot SE 2-2 Ajka | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Ajka 1-0 Gyirmot SE | NB II |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Gyirmot SE 2-1 Ajka | NB II |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajka score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gyirmot SE score 2.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajka | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Gyirmot SE | 2.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajka sit 6th in NB II (8 points from 4 matches) and Gyirmot SE sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gyirmot SE | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 6 | Ajka | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ajka vs Gyirmot SE?
- The Footlab model makes Gyirmot SE the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ajka.
- Where and when is Ajka vs Gyirmot SE played?
- Ajka vs Gyirmot SE is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ajkai Városi Sportcentrum, in the NB II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.