Ajka vs Szentlőrinc SE: prediction and stats
NB IIRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ajkai Városi Sportcentrum, Ajka
The Footlab model makes Szentlőrinc SE the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Ajka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ajka vs Szentlőrinc SE?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Ajka (1,589) and Szentlőrinc SE (1,642).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajka have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Szentlőrinc SE have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(home) | 2-0 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Diosgyori VTK(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karcag SE(home) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kecskeméti TE(home) | 3-1 | NB II |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Csakvar(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Soroksar(away) | 2-3 | NB II |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Csakvar(home) | 3-2 | NB II |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(home) | 1-0 | NB II |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Karcag SE(home) | 0-0 | NB II |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Paks(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ajka win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Szentlőrinc SE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Ajka 2-1 Szentlőrinc SE | NB II |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Szentlőrinc SE 1-0 Ajka | NB II |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Szentlőrinc SE 2-0 Ajka | NB II |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Ajka 0-1 Szentlőrinc SE | NB II |
| May 7, 2023 | Ajka 0-2 Szentlőrinc SE | NB II |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Szentlőrinc SE 2-3 Ajka | NB II |
Last archived meeting: Ajka vs Szentlőrinc SE on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ajka score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Szentlőrinc SE score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajka | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Szentlőrinc SE | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajka sit 6th in NB II (8 points from 4 matches) and Szentlőrinc SE sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ajka | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Szentlőrinc SE | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ajka vs Szentlőrinc SE?
- The Footlab model makes Szentlőrinc SE the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Ajka.
- Where and when is Ajka vs Szentlőrinc SE played?
- Ajka vs Szentlőrinc SE is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ajkai Városi Sportcentrum, in the NB II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.