Al Ahli Tripoli vs Asswehly: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular seasonKick-off on January 21, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)11 June Stadium, Tripoli
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahli Tripoli the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Asswehly. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ahli Tripoli vs Asswehly?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Al Ahli Tripoli (2,037) and Asswehly (1,952).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Ahli Tripoli vs Asswehly
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Ahli Tripoli
Not enough data to predict the Al Ahli Tripoli lineup.
Asswehly
Not enough data to predict the Asswehly lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 11:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahli Tripoli have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Asswehly have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Al Shomooa SC(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al-Khmes(home) | 8-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Bashaer Club(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home) | 4-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni(away) | 4-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Assabah SC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Al Bashaer Club(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Watan(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | ES Tunis(home) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Ahli Tripoli win, 4 draws, 1 Asswehly win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Al Ahli Tripoli 0-0 Asswehly | Premier League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Al Ahli Tripoli 1-2 Asswehly | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Asswehly 0-0 Al Ahli Tripoli | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Al Ahli Tripoli 3-0 Asswehly | Premier League |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Asswehly 2-2 Al Ahli Tripoli | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Al Ahli Tripoli 1-1 Asswehly | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Ahli Tripoli vs Asswehly on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ahli Tripoli score 2.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Asswehly score 1.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Tripoli | 2.9 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Asswehly | 1.3 | 0.3 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ahli Tripoli sit 1st in Premier League (23 points from 9 matches) and Asswehly sit 2nd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahli Tripoli | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 23 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
A question about Al Ahli Tripoli vs Asswehly?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ahli Tripoli vs Asswehly?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahli Tripoli the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Asswehly.
- Where and when is Al Ahli Tripoli vs Asswehly played?
- Al Ahli Tripoli vs Asswehly is played on January 21, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 11 June Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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