Al Ansar vs Al Ahed: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Beirut Municipal Stadium, Bayrūt (Beirut)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ansar the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Al Ahed. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ansar vs Al Ahed?
Al Ansar starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,724 vs 1,521).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Ansar
4-3-3- 31Hichem Houssam Eddine
- 14Mahdi Zein
- 13E. Malick Tall
- 4Nader Matar
- 8Sisi
- 12Ahmad Khairdien
- 5N. Nassar
- 2M. El Dor
- 3A. Sharqawi
- 27Khalil Bader
- 91Nazih Assaad
Al Ahed
Not enough data to predict the Al Ahed lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ansar have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Al Ahed have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Hikma(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Al Ahed(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Mabarrah(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Tripoli SC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Al Ansar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Ansar wins, 1 draw, 2 Al Ahed wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Al Ahed 1-1 Al Ansar | Premier League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Al Ansar 3-1 Al Ahed | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Al Ansar 1-2 Al Ahed | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Al Ahed 1-5 Al Ansar | Premier League |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Al Ansar 4-1 Al Ahed | Premier League |
| May 12, 2025 | Al Ansar 0-2 Al Ahed | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ansar score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahed score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ansar | 2.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Al Ahed | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ansar sit 7th in Premier League (3 points from 1 match) and Al Ahed sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Ahed | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Ansar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Al Ansar vs Al Ahed?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ansar vs Al Ahed?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ansar the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Al Ahed.
- Where and when is Al Ansar vs Al Ahed played?
- Al Ansar vs Al Ahed is played on December 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Beirut Municipal Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.