Al Arabi vs Al Urooba: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 02:55 PM (UTC)Al Arabi Stadium, Umm al-Quwain
The Footlab model makes Al Urooba the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Al Arabi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Arabi vs Al Urooba?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Al Arabi (1,568) and Al Urooba (1,619).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Arabi have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Al Urooba have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Palm City(away) | 5-2 | Division 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Masfut(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| May 15, 2026 | Gulf United(home) | 2-1 | Division 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Dubai United(away) | 0-2 | Division 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Emirates Club(home) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Thaid(home) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Masfut(home) | 2-1 | Division 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Gulf United(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| May 15, 2026 | Dubai United(home) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Emirates Club(away) | 2-0 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Arabi win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Al Urooba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2026 | Al Arabi 2-1 Al Urooba | Division 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Al Urooba 0-1 Al Arabi | Division 1 |
| May 30, 2024 | Al Arabi 2-2 Al Urooba | Division 1 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Al Urooba 2-0 Al Arabi | Division 1 |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Al Urooba 0-3 Al Arabi | Division 1 |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Al Arabi 3-7 Al Urooba | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al Arabi vs Al Urooba on Feb 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Arabi score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Urooba score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Arabi | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Al Urooba | 1.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Arabi sit 3rd in Division 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Al Urooba sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Arabi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Urooba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Arabi vs Al Urooba?
- The Footlab model makes Al Urooba the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Al Arabi.
- Where and when is Al Arabi vs Al Urooba played?
- Al Arabi vs Al Urooba is played on September 11, 2026 at 02:55 PM (UTC) at Al Arabi Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.