Al Bukayriyah vs Al Najma: prediction and stats
Division 1Matchday 17Kick-off on December 22, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC)Al-Bukiryah Club Stadium, Al Bukayriyah
The Footlab AI model makes Al Najma the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Al Bukayriyah. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Najma wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Bukayriyah vs Al Najma?
Al Najma starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,702 vs 1,561).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Bukayriyah vs Al Najma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Bukayriyah
4-3-3- 90I. Success
- 10Nasser Kaabi
- 99B. Kuwas
- 8Hicham Faik
- 6Abdulrahman Al Barakah
- 7M. Al Mahmoudi
- 19F. Piñero
- 66b. H. Hasami Sharahili R. b. M.
- 14M. Abuyabes
- 22Hussain Al Zabdani
- 17Mansour Johar
Al Najma
3-5-2- 9Marcos André
- 92S. Cisse
- 7João Novais
- 5Afonso Taira
- 17Ahmad Al Badah
- 16Muhammad Sahlouli
- 88Nabil Emad Dunga
- 3Diogo Queirós
- 70Khalid Bin Shuwayii
- 13Khalid Al Khathlan
- 22B. Al Khamali
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Bukayriyah have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Al Najma have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al Saqer(away) | 1-4 | Division 1 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al Jabalain(away) | 0-3 | Division 1 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Hajer(home) | 2-1 | Division 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al Orubah(away) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Zulfi(home) | 0-2 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al Ula(home) | 1-3 | Division 1 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al Jeel(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Zulfi(home) | 2-0 | Division 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Hajer(away) | 4-2 | Division 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Damac(home) | 3-0 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Al Bukayriyah wins, 1 draw, 1 Al Najma win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2025 | Al Najma 1-2 Al Bukayriyah | Division 1 |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Al Bukayriyah 2-0 Al Najma | Division 1 |
| Mar 27, 2024 | Al Najma 3-1 Al Bukayriyah | Division 1 |
| Nov 6, 2023 | Al Bukayriyah 1-1 Al Najma | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al Najma vs Al Bukayriyah on Apr 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Al Bukayriyah score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al Najma score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Bukayriyah | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Najma | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Bukayriyah sit 17th in Division 1 (6 points from 11 matches) and Al Najma sit 3rd (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Najma | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 19 |
| 17 | Al Bukayriyah | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Al Bukayriyah vs Al Najma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Bukayriyah vs Al Najma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Najma the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Al Bukayriyah.
- Where and when is Al Bukayriyah vs Al Najma played?
- Al Bukayriyah vs Al Najma is played on December 22, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC) at Al-Bukiryah Club Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.