Al Buqa'a vs Jerash: prediction and stats
CupRound of 16Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Petra Field, Amman
The Footlab AI model makes Al Buqa'a the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Jerash. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Buqa'a wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,580 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Buqa'a vs Jerash?
On Elo ratings, Al Buqa'a has 1,432 points and Jerash 1,386.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Buqa'a vs Jerash
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Buqa'a
Not enough data to predict the Al Buqa'a lineup.
Jerash
Not enough data to predict the Jerash lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 03:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Buqa'a have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Jerash have 1, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Al Wihdat(home) | 0-1 | League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al Ramtha(away) | 1-2 | League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al Arabi(away) | 2-0 | League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Salt(home) | 0-0 | League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Shabab Al Ordon(away) | 3-0 | League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Amman(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ma'an(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Al Wihdat(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Saham(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Ittihad Al Ramtha(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Buqa'a score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jerash score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Buqa'a | 1.0 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Jerash | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0 | 4/7 | 2/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Al Buqa'a vs Jerash?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Buqa'a vs Jerash?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Buqa'a the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Jerash.
- Where and when is Al Buqa'a vs Jerash played?
- Al Buqa'a vs Jerash is played on November 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Petra Field, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.