Al Jahra vs Al Nasar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on May 5, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Al Shabab Mubarak Alaiar Stadium, Al Jahra
The Footlab model makes Al Nasar the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Al Jahra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Jahra vs Al Nasar?
Al Nasar starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,499 vs 1,318).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Jahra have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Al Nasar have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Nasar(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Al Qadsia(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Jahra(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Kazma(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 30, 2026 | Al Arabi(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Jahra win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Al Nasar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Nasar 1-1 Al Jahra | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Jahra 0-2 Al Nasar | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Al Nasar 0-1 Al Jahra | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Al Nasar 2-0 Al Jahra | Premier League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Al Jahra 0-3 Al Nasar | Premier League |
| May 7, 2023 | Al Nasar 4-1 Al Jahra | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Jahra score 0.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Nasar score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jahra | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Nasar | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Jahra sit 10th in Premier League (8 points from 18 matches) and Al Nasar sit 8th (19 points from 19 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Nasar | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 19 |
| 10 | Al Jahra | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 39 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Jahra vs Al Nasar?
- The Footlab model makes Al Nasar the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Al Jahra.
- Where and when is Al Jahra vs Al Nasar played?
- Al Jahra vs Al Nasar is played on May 5, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Al Shabab Mubarak Alaiar Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.