Al Jeel vs Al Najma: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 02:40 PM (UTC)Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, Al-Hasa
The Footlab model makes Al Jeel the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Al Najma. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Jeel vs Al Najma?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Al Jeel (1,654) and Al Najma (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Jeel have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Al Najma have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Zulfi(home) | 0-2 | Division 1 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Al Saqer(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Al Sharq(home) | 2-4 | Division 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Najoom(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Jubbah(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Jandal(home) | 2-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Al Shabab(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| May 14, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| May 9, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 2-2 | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Jeel score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Najma score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jeel | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Najma | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Jeel sit 16th in Division 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Al Najma sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al Najma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Jeel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Jeel vs Al Najma?
- The Footlab model makes Al Jeel the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Al Najma.
- Where and when is Al Jeel vs Al Najma played?
- Al Jeel vs Al Najma is played on November 2, 2026 at 02:40 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.