Al-Karma vs Zakho: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al Ramadi Stadium, Ar Ramādī (Ramadi)
The Footlab model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Zakho. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Zakho?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Al-Karma (1,615) and Zakho (1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Karma have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Zakho have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Shorta(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 27, 2026 | Diyala(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 19, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 14, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 24, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Al-Karma win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Zakho win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Zakho 2-2 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Al-Karma 0-0 Zakho | Iraqi League |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Al-Karma 0-0 Zakho | Iraqi League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Zakho 1-0 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Karma score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zakho score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Karma | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Zakho | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 14/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Karma sit 4th in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Zakho sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Karma | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Zakho | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Karma vs Zakho?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Karma the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Zakho.
- Where and when is Al-Karma vs Zakho played?
- Al-Karma vs Zakho is played on September 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al Ramadi Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.