Al-Kawkab vs Al Shoalah: prediction and stats
Division 2Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 12:10 PM (UTC)Al-Shoalah Club Stadium, Al Kharj
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Kawkab the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Al Shoalah. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Kawkab wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,709 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Kawkab vs Al Shoalah?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Al-Kawkab (1,582) and Al Shoalah (1,587).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Kawkab vs Al Shoalah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Kawkab
Not enough data to predict the Al-Kawkab lineup.
Al Shoalah
4-3-3- 9M. Soro Nanga
- 36Mohanad Al Farsi
- 17Mohamed Rawaf
- 6Zakaria Al Sudani
- 3Ayel Haqawi
- 20Mosfer Al Bishi
- 14Sultan Tamihi
- 18Radhi Matar
- 25Abdulelah Al Amer
- 4Rashed Al Dowesan
- 31Abdulaziz Takroni
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Kawkab have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Al Shoalah have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Jubail(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al Hada(away) | 1-4 | Division 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Arabi SC(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Najoom(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Al Safa(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Al Najoom(away) | 0-0 | Division 2 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al-Washm(home) | 3-4 | Division 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al Sharq(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Loa(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Tuwaiq(home) | 4-1 | Division 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Kawkab win, 2 draws, 3 Al Shoalah wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | Al Shoalah 1-1 Al-Kawkab | Division 1 |
| Oct 13, 2021 | Al-Kawkab 1-0 Al Shoalah | Division 1 |
| Apr 30, 2021 | Al Shoalah 3-1 Al-Kawkab | Division 1 |
| Jan 13, 2021 | Al-Kawkab 1-2 Al Shoalah | Division 1 |
| Sep 10, 2020 | Al-Kawkab 1-1 Al Shoalah | Division 1 |
| Dec 18, 2019 | Al Shoalah 2-0 Al-Kawkab | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al Shoalah vs Al-Kawkab on Feb 22, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Kawkab score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shoalah score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Kawkab | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Al Shoalah | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Kawkab sit 10th in Division 2 (7 points from 4 matches) and Al Shoalah sit 20th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al-Kawkab | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 20 | Al Shoalah | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
A question about Al-Kawkab vs Al Shoalah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Kawkab vs Al Shoalah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Kawkab the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Al Shoalah.
- Where and when is Al-Kawkab vs Al Shoalah played?
- Al-Kawkab vs Al Shoalah is played on December 15, 2026 at 12:10 PM (UTC) at Al-Shoalah Club Stadium, in the Division 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.