Al-Kawkab vs Najran: prediction and stats
Division 2Regular Season - 7Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 12:05 PM (UTC)Al-Shoalah Club Stadium, Al Kharj
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Kawkab the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Najran. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Kawkab wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Kawkab vs Najran?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Al-Kawkab (1,563) and Najran (1,613).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Kawkab vs Najran
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Kawkab
Not enough data to predict the Al-Kawkab lineup.
Najran
Not enough data to predict the Najran lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Kawkab have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Najran have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Najoom(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Al Safa(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Nairyah(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Mudhar Club(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Al Qous(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Al Najoom(home) | 3-2 | Division 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Jubbah(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Al Sahel(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Al Jeel(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Al-Sadd(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Kawkab win, 2 draws, 3 Najran wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | Najran 1-1 Al-Kawkab | Division 1 |
| Sep 14, 2021 | Al-Kawkab 0-1 Najran | Division 1 |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Al-Kawkab 1-2 Najran | Division 1 |
| Nov 4, 2020 | Najran 3-1 Al-Kawkab | Division 1 |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Najran 1-2 Al-Kawkab | Division 1 |
| Dec 10, 2019 | Al-Kawkab 0-0 Najran | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Kawkab score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Najran score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Kawkab | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Najran | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Kawkab sit 10th in Division 2 (40 points from 30 matches) and Najran sit 6th (46 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | NajranGroup 1 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 44 | 38 | 46 |
| 10 | Al-KawkabGroup 2 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 40 |
A question about Al-Kawkab vs Najran?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Kawkab vs Najran?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Kawkab the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Najran.
- Where and when is Al-Kawkab vs Najran played?
- Al-Kawkab vs Najran is played on November 15, 2026 at 12:05 PM (UTC) at Al-Shoalah Club Stadium, in the Division 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.