Al-Khmes vs Al Watan: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular seasonKick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Watan the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Al-Khmes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Watan wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,881 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Khmes vs Al Watan?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Al-Khmes (1,612) and Al Watan (1,659).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Khmes vs Al Watan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Khmes
Not enough data to predict the Al-Khmes lineup.
Al Watan
Not enough data to predict the Al Watan lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 02:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Khmes have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Al Watan have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al Ahli Tripoli(away) | 0-8 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Assabah SC(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al Bashaer Club(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Abu Salim(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Al Ahli Tripoli(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Asswehly(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Olympic Azzaweya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al-Madina(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Al Qadisiyah Bani Walid(home) | 4-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Asswehly(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Al-Khmes wins, 1 draw, 1 Al Watan win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Al Watan 0-1 Al-Khmes | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Al-Khmes 1-1 Al Watan | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Al Watan 1-0 Al-Khmes | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Al-Khmes 1-0 Al Watan | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Khmes score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al Watan score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Khmes | 0.9 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Watan | 0.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Khmes sit 9th in Premier League (9 points from 9 matches) and Al Watan sit 6th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Watan | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Khmes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
A question about Al-Khmes vs Al Watan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Khmes vs Al Watan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Watan the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Al-Khmes.
- Where and when is Al-Khmes vs Al Watan played?
- Al-Khmes vs Al Watan is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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