Al Loa vs Al-Kawkab: prediction and stats
Division 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Loa the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Al-Kawkab. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Loa vs Al-Kawkab?
Al Loa starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,578).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Loa vs Al-Kawkab
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Loa
Not enough data to predict the Al Loa lineup.
Al-Kawkab
Not enough data to predict the Al-Kawkab lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Loa have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Al-Kawkab have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Qous(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Ohod(away) | 1-0 | Division 2 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bisha(home) | 4-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Hajer(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Al Qalah(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Najoom(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Al Safa(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Nairyah(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Mudhar Club(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Al Qous(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Al Loa win, 1 draw, 0 Al-Kawkab wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Al-Kawkab 2-2 Al Loa | Division 2 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Al Loa 2-0 Al-Kawkab | Division 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Loa score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Kawkab score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Loa | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Al-Kawkab | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Loa sit 3rd in Division 2 (65 points from 30 matches) and Al-Kawkab sit 10th (40 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Loa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 67 | 32 | 65 |
| 10 | Al-Kawkab | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 39 | 40 |
A question about Al Loa vs Al-Kawkab?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Loa vs Al-Kawkab?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Loa the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Al-Kawkab.
- Where and when is Al Loa vs Al-Kawkab played?
- Al Loa vs Al-Kawkab is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:20 PM (UTC), in the Division 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.