Al-Madina vs Asswehly: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular seasonKick-off on December 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)11 June Stadium, Tripoli
The Footlab AI model makes Asswehly the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Al-Madina. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,890 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Madina vs Asswehly?
Asswehly starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,941 vs 1,706).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Madina vs Asswehly
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Madina
Not enough data to predict the Al-Madina lineup.
Asswehly
Not enough data to predict the Asswehly lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 03:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Madina have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Asswehly have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al-Magd(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Alittihad Misurata(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Watan(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Alittihad Misurata(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Asswehly(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Assabah SC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Al Bashaer Club(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al Watan(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | ES Tunis(home) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Madina win, 0 draws, 5 Asswehly wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Al-Madina 0-3 Asswehly | Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Al-Madina 0-3 Asswehly | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Asswehly 2-1 Al-Madina | Premier League |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Asswehly 1-0 Al-Madina | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Al-Madina 4-2 Asswehly | Premier League |
| Jul 22, 2024 | Al-Madina 2-4 Asswehly | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Madina vs Asswehly on May 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Madina score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Asswehly score 1.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Madina | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Asswehly | 1.3 | 0.3 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Madina sit 3rd in Premier League (12 points from 9 matches) and Asswehly sit 2nd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Asswehly | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Al-Madina | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Al-Madina vs Asswehly?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Madina vs Asswehly?
- The Footlab AI model makes Asswehly the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Al-Madina.
- Where and when is Al-Madina vs Asswehly played?
- Al-Madina vs Asswehly is played on December 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 11 June Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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