Al Merreikh vs Garde Nationale: result 0-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueMatchday 6Kick-off on January 6, 2025 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, Nouakchott
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What was the result of Al Merreikh vs Garde Nationale?
Garde Nationale won 0-1 on January 6, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 54′?Garde Nationale
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Merreikh have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Garde Nationale have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025 | Inter Nouakchott(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2024 | AC Douane(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 9, 2024 | SNIM(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Ksar(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Nouakchott King's(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | Toulde(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Kaédi(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Gendrim(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Nouadhibou(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Tevragh-Zeïne(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Merreikh score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Garde Nationale score 0.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Merreikh | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Garde Nationale | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy