Al Najoom vs Jerash: prediction and stats
Division 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:55 AM (UTC)Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, Al-Hasa
The Footlab AI model makes Al Najoom the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Jerash. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Najoom wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Najoom vs Jerash?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Al Najoom (1,538) and Jerash (1,622).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Najoom vs Jerash
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Najoom
4-3-3- 87Abdullah Khattab Bilal
- 80Atiah Al Shamrani
- 97Mostafa Al Batran
- 29Abdulah Al Bilady
- 33Enad Al Khalifa
- 10Bandar Awdah Al Anazi
- 86Tiago Lopes
- 27Salam A Alohimad
- 24Ahmed Alsobaie
- 5Yasser Dhamri
- 30Suliman Sofyani
Jerash
Not enough data to predict the Jerash lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Najoom have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Jerash have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Kawkab(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Najran(away) | 2-3 | Division 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Jeel(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Al-Sadd(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Al Sahel(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Jubbah(home) | 3-3 | Division 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Sahel(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Al Sharq(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Al Jeel(home) | 2-3 | Division 2 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Al-Sadd(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Al Najoom wins, 2 draws, 0 Jerash wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Jerash 2-2 Al Najoom | Division 2 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Al Najoom 1-1 Jerash | Division 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Najoom score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Jerash score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Najoom | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Jerash | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Najoom sit 8th in Division 2 (39 points from 30 matches) and Jerash sit 5th (46 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jerash | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 46 | 46 |
| 8 | Al Najoom | 30 | 6 | 21 | 3 | 36 | 31 | 39 |
A question about Al Najoom vs Jerash?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Najoom vs Jerash?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Najoom the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Jerash.
- Where and when is Al Najoom vs Jerash played?
- Al Najoom vs Jerash is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:55 AM (UTC) at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, in the Division 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.