AL Nasr SC vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Al Nasr Club Stadium, El Nozha
The Footlab model makes Baladiyyat Al Mehalla the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for AL Nasr SC. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AL Nasr SC vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,628 vs 1,526).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AL Nasr SC have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jul 15, 2024 | Pyramids FC(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Jun 16, 2023 | Porto Suez(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group B |
| Jun 9, 2023 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-4 | Second League - Group B |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Olympic El Qanah(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | El Mansura(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | El Mansura(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | El Dakhleya(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
AL Nasr SC score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Baladiyyat Al Mehalla score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL Nasr SC | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AL Nasr SC sit 9th in Second League (1 points from 1 matches) and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | AL Nasr SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AL Nasr SC vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
- The Footlab model makes Baladiyyat Al Mehalla the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for AL Nasr SC.
- Where and when is AL Nasr SC vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla played?
- AL Nasr SC vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla is played on April 2, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Al Nasr Club Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.