Al Sadaqa vs Al Afriqi Derna SC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular seasonKick-off on December 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Sadaqa the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Al Afriqi Derna SC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Sadaqa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Sadaqa vs Al Afriqi Derna SC?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Al Sadaqa (1,662) and Al Afriqi Derna SC (1,640).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Sadaqa vs Al Afriqi Derna SC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Sadaqa
Not enough data to predict the Al Sadaqa lineup.
Al Afriqi Derna SC
Not enough data to predict the Al Afriqi Derna SC lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 07:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Sadaqa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Al Afriqi Derna SC have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al-Nasr(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Al-Akhdar(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Ta'awon(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Al Ahli Benghazi(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Darnes(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Al Ta'awon(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Darnes(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al-Sharara(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Al Ahli Benghazi(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | Al-Akhdar(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Sadaqa score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Afriqi Derna SC score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Sadaqa | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Afriqi Derna SC | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Sadaqa sit 5th in Premier League (11 points from 8 matches) and Al Afriqi Derna SC sit 3rd (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Afriqi Derna SCGroup 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 12 |
| 5 | Al SadaqaGroup 3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
A question about Al Sadaqa vs Al Afriqi Derna SC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Sadaqa vs Al Afriqi Derna SC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Sadaqa the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Al Afriqi Derna SC.
- Where and when is Al Sadaqa vs Al Afriqi Derna SC played?
- Al Sadaqa vs Al Afriqi Derna SC is played on December 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 13, 2026Al Sadaqa0-0Al Ta'awon
- Oct 13, 2026Shabab Al-GharvsAlittihad Misurata
- Oct 13, 2026Olympic Azzaweya3-2Assabah SC
- Oct 13, 2026Al Hilal0-0Darnes
- Oct 13, 2026Al-Madina2-0Al Watan
- Oct 14, 2026Khaleej Sart0-0Al-Akhdar
- Oct 14, 2026Al Afriqi Derna SC1-0Al-Sharara
- Oct 14, 2026Al Malaab El Libby1-0Al-Magd