Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Thamir Stadium, Kuwait City
The Footlab model makes Al Arabi the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Al Salmiyah. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi?
Al Arabi starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,769 vs 1,635).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Salmiyah have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Al Arabi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2026 | Kazma(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Al Arabi(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Al Kuwait(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Al Qadsia(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | East Bengal II(away) | 1-4 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Al Salmiyah(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Al Kuwait(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Al Qadsia(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al Salmiyah win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Al Arabi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Al Salmiyah 1-0 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Al Salmiyah 1-0 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Al Arabi 3-1 Al Salmiyah | Premier League |
| May 30, 2025 | Al Arabi 1-0 Al Salmiyah | Emir Cup |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Al Salmiyah 2-3 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Al Arabi 1-1 Al Salmiyah | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi on Jun 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Salmiyah score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Arabi score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Salmiyah | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Arabi | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Salmiyah sit 5th in Premier League (31 points from 20 matches) and Al Arabi sit 2nd (36 points from 20 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Arabi | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Al Salmiyah | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi?
- The Footlab model makes Al Arabi the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Al Salmiyah.
- Where and when is Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi played?
- Al Salmiyah vs Al Arabi is played on March 20, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Thamir Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.