Al Salmiyah vs Al Qadsia: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Thamir Stadium, Kuwait City
The Footlab model makes Al Salmiyah the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Al Qadsia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Salmiyah vs Al Qadsia?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Al Salmiyah (1,635) and Al Qadsia (1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Salmiyah have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Al Qadsia have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2026 | Kazma(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Al Arabi(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Al Kuwait(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Al Qadsia(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Al Kuwait(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Kazma(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Al Arabi(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Salmiyah win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Al Qadsia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Al Qadsia 3-2 Al Salmiyah | Premier League |
| May 15, 2026 | Al Qadsia 2-1 Al Salmiyah | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Al Salmiyah 0-0 Al Qadsia | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Al Qadsia 3-1 Al Salmiyah | Crown Prince Cup |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Al Qadsia 2-4 Al Salmiyah | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Al Salmiyah 1-2 Al Qadsia | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah on Jun 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Salmiyah score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Qadsia score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Salmiyah | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Qadsia | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Qadsia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Salmiyah vs Al Qadsia?
- The Footlab model makes Al Salmiyah the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Al Qadsia.
- Where and when is Al Salmiyah vs Al Qadsia played?
- Al Salmiyah vs Al Qadsia is played on December 2, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Thamir Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.