Albirex Niigata S vs Home United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Jurong East Stadium, Singapore
The Footlab model makes Home United the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Albirex Niigata S. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albirex Niigata S vs Home United?
Home United starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,809 vs 1,674).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albirex Niigata S have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Home United have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Young Lions(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Home United(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 4, 2026 | Young Lions(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tanjong Pagar(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Albirex Niigata S(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Geylang International(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Young Lions(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Albirex Niigata S win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Home United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Home United 0-2 Albirex Niigata S | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Albirex Niigata S 3-3 Home United | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Home United 3-0 Albirex Niigata S | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Albirex Niigata S 0-2 Home United | Premier League |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Home United 6-0 Albirex Niigata S | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Albirex Niigata S 3-1 Home United | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Home United vs Albirex Niigata S on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Albirex Niigata S score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Home United score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albirex Niigata S | 2.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Home United | 2.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Albirex Niigata S sit 3rd in Premier League (47 points from 21 matches) and Home United sit 1st (51 points from 21 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Home United | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 70 | 14 | 51 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata S | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albirex Niigata S vs Home United?
- The Footlab model makes Home United the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Albirex Niigata S.
- Where and when is Albirex Niigata S vs Home United played?
- Albirex Niigata S vs Home United is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Jurong East Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.