Match

Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal: prediction and stats

Copa De La LigaFinalKick-off on November 15, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeones del '36, Sullana

Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal

The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Alianza Atletico. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Cristal wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,935 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Alianza Atletico (1,672) and Sporting Cristal (1,762).

31%26%43%
Alianza Atletico winDrawSporting Cristal win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Alianza Atletico

4-2-3-1
  1. 27J. Ingratti
  1. 10Germán Díaz
  2. 15H. Lupú
  3. 17C. Penilla
  4. 23A. Muñoz
  5. 37J. Delgado
  1. 6J. Luján
  2. 2R. Suarez
  3. 21E. Perleche
  4. 24A. Gordillo
  1. 95D. Prieto

Sporting Cristal

4-2-3-1
  1. 29H. Barcos
  1. 23M. Castro
  2. 7S. González
  3. 16L. Iberico
  4. 6A. Álvarez
  5. 19Y. Yotún
  1. 8L. Sosa
  2. 5R. Lutiger
  3. 20M. Araujo
  4. 90Cris Silva
  1. 1D. Enríquez

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alianza Atletico have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Sporting Cristal have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alianza Atletico
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026FC Cajamarca(away)0-2Primera División
Oct 31, 2026Juan Pablo II College(home)1-0Primera División
Oct 28, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso(home)3-2Primera División
Oct 24, 2026Sport Huancayo(away)1-4Primera División
Oct 18, 2026Universitario(home)1-4Primera División
Sporting Cristal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026ADT(away)1-1Primera División
Nov 2, 2026FC Cajamarca(home)5-0Primera División
Oct 29, 2026Alianza Lima(home)3-2Primera División
Oct 24, 2026Cusco(away)1-3Primera División
Oct 18, 2026Comerciantes Unidos(home)4-2Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alianza Atletico wins, 1 draw, 2 Sporting Cristal wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Alianza Atletico 3-1 Sporting CristalPrimera División
Mar 7, 2026Sporting Cristal 3-1 Alianza AtleticoPrimera División
Sep 17, 2025Sporting Cristal 0-0 Alianza AtleticoPrimera División
Apr 19, 2025Alianza Atletico 1-0 Sporting CristalPrimera División
Oct 19, 2024Alianza Atletico 1-0 Sporting CristalPrimera División
May 5, 2024Sporting Cristal 2-1 Alianza AtleticoPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal on Aug 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alianza Atletico score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Cristal score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alianza Atletico1.91.5311/1510/15
Sporting Cristal2.71.159/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Alianza Atletico.
Where and when is Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal played?
Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal is played on November 15, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Campeones del '36, in the Copa De La Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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