Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Indodrill Stadium, Alloa
The Footlab AI model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Alloa Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If East Kilbride wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,316 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride?
East Kilbride starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,701 vs 1,574).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alloa Athletic
4-3-3- 24O. Foster
- 7K. Glasgow
- 28M. Aitken
- 12S. Scougall
- 6G. Marchant
- 4S. Hetherington
- 2S. Taggart
- 5Joseph McGrath
- 3C. Waters
- 20C. O'Donnell
- 31L. Green
East Kilbride
4-3-3- 9C. Elliott
- 11C. McGuffie
- 36S. Culbert
- 26R. Armstrong
- 7L. McGrattan
- 22Alexander Smith
- 5S. Fagan
- 23M. Robertson
- 24D. O'Connor
- 4J. Hamilton
- 1S. Kelly
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 11:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alloa Athletic have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; East Kilbride have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 2-3 | League One |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Queen of the South(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 7-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Alloa Athletic wins, 0 draws, 1 East Kilbride win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 1-2 East Kilbride | League One |
Last archived meeting: Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alloa Athletic score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; East Kilbride score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| East Kilbride | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alloa Athletic sit 9th in League One (12 points from 14 matches) and East Kilbride sit 3rd (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | East Kilbride | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Alloa Athletic | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride?
- The Footlab AI model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Alloa Athletic.
- Where and when is Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride played?
- Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Indodrill Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.