Almansa vs Guadalajara II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal Paco Simón, Almansa
The Footlab model makes Almansa the favourite at 48%, against 31% for a draw and 21% for Guadalajara II. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almansa vs Guadalajara II?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Almansa (1,700) and Guadalajara II (1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almansa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Guadalajara II have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2022 | Conquense(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Torrijos(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Hogar Alcarreño(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Albacete II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Azuqueca(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tarancón(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pedroñeras(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
How many goals should we expect?
Almansa score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara II score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almansa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Guadalajara II | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Guadalajara II | 34 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 37 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almansa vs Guadalajara II?
- The Footlab model makes Almansa the favourite at 48%, against 31% for a draw and 21% for Guadalajara II.
- Where and when is Almansa vs Guadalajara II played?
- Almansa vs Guadalajara II is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Paco Simón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.