Almansa vs Villarrubia: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal Paco Simón, Almansa
The Footlab AI model makes Almansa the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Villarrubia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almansa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almansa vs Villarrubia?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Almansa (1,694) and Villarrubia (1,737).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almansa vs Villarrubia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almansa
Not enough data to predict the Almansa lineup.
Villarrubia
Not enough data to predict the Villarrubia lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almansa have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Villarrubia have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Illescas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villarrobledo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Toledo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | San Clemente(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marchamalo(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tarancón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CD Villa(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Almansa wins, 0 draws, 2 Villarrubia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2022 | Villarrubia 1-0 Almansa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Almansa 2-3 Villarrubia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Villarrubia vs Almansa on Jan 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Almansa score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Villarrubia score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almansa | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Villarrubia | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almansa sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (12 points from 10 matches) and Villarrubia sit 13th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Almansa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 13 | Villarrubia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Almansa vs Villarrubia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almansa vs Villarrubia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almansa the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Villarrubia.
- Where and when is Almansa vs Villarrubia played?
- Almansa vs Villarrubia is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Paco Simón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.