Almudévar vs Binéfar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Virgen de la Corona, Almudévar
The Footlab AI model makes Almudévar the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Binéfar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almudévar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almudévar vs Binéfar?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Almudévar (1,695) and Binéfar (1,743).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almudévar vs Binéfar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almudévar
Not enough data to predict the Almudévar lineup.
Binéfar
Not enough data to predict the Binéfar lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almudévar have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Binéfar have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Illueca(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlético Monzón(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Belchite 97(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fraga(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fraga(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Robres(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Caspe(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | La Almunia(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Terrassa(away) | 0-4 | Copa Federacion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Almudévar wins, 1 draw, 1 Binéfar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Almudévar 1-0 Binéfar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Binéfar 2-3 Almudévar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Binéfar 1-1 Almudévar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Almudévar 2-0 Binéfar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Binéfar 0-2 Almudévar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Almudévar 1-2 Binéfar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Almudévar score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Binéfar score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almudévar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Binéfar | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almudévar sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (7 points from 6 matches) and Binéfar sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Almudévar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Binéfar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Almudévar vs Binéfar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almudévar vs Binéfar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almudévar the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Binéfar.
- Where and when is Almudévar vs Binéfar played?
- Almudévar vs Binéfar is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Virgen de la Corona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.