Alpendorada vs Estrela: result 3-1 and analysis
Taça de PortugalRound of 64Kick-off on October 18, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Alpendorada, Alpendurada e Matos
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What was the result of Alpendorada vs Estrela?
Alpendorada won 3-1 on October 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′Rodrigo PinhoEstrela (pen.)
- 43′PauletaAlpendorada
- 53′PauletaAlpendorada
- 69′M. BorgesAlpendorada
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alpendorada have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Estrela have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Cinfães(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Florgrade(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Estrela(home) | 7-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Leça(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Vila Real(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | AVS(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Tondela(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Alpendorada(away) | 1-7 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Alpendorada win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Estrela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Alpendorada 7-1 Estrela | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Alpendorada vs Estrela on Sep 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Alpendorada score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpendorada | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Estrela | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy