Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder: result 3-2 and analysis
Victoria NPLRegular Season - 7Kick-off on April 1, 2023 at 07:15 AM (UTC)Paisley Park Soccer Complex, Melbourne
Full time
What was the result of Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?
Altona Magic won 3-2 on April 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 22′G. DamenDandenong Thunder
- 31′T. SemmyAltona Magic
- 49′C. LeechAltona Magic
- 52′Jonas MarkovskiAltona Magic
- 74′K. DoverDandenong Thunder
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altona Magic have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Dandenong Thunder have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2023 | Melbourne Knights(away) | 1-3 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Green Gully(home) | 1-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Moreland City(away) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 4, 2023 | North Geelong Warriors(home) | 1-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Avondale(away) | 0-3 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | Port Melbourne(home) | 2-6 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Bentleigh Greens(away) | 3-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 11, 2023 | South Melbourne(home) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Oakleigh Cannons(home) | 1-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 25, 2023 | St. Albans Saints(home) | 4-4 | Victoria NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Altona Magic win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dandenong Thunder win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2022 | Altona Magic 2-1 Dandenong Thunder | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Dandenong Thunder 0-2 Altona Magic | Victoria NPL |
| May 15, 2021 | Dandenong Thunder 3-1 Altona Magic | Victoria NPL |
| Jun 15, 2019 | Altona Magic 3-2 Dandenong Thunder | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Dandenong Thunder 1-3 Altona Magic | Victoria NPL |
Last archived meeting: Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder on Jun 11, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Altona Magic score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dandenong Thunder score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altona Magic | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dandenong Thunder | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Altona Magic sit 11th in Victoria NPL (27 points from 25 matches) and Dandenong Thunder sit 14th (15 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Altona Magic | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 41 | 27 |
| 14 | Dandenong Thunder | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 59 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy