Altrincham vs Tamworth: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The J. Davidson Stadium, Altrincham, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Altrincham the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Tamworth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Altrincham vs Tamworth?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Altrincham (1,752) and Tamworth (1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altrincham have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Tamworth have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Southend(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Manchester United U21(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 5-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 3-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Altrincham win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tamworth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Tamworth 5-1 Altrincham | National League |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Altrincham 1-2 Tamworth | National League |
| May 5, 2025 | Altrincham 1-1 Tamworth | National League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Tamworth 1-2 Altrincham | National League |
Last archived meeting: Tamworth vs Altrincham on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Altrincham score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tamworth score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altrincham | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tamworth | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Altrincham sit 23rd in National League (0 points from 3 matches) and Tamworth sit 22nd (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Tamworth | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 23 | Altrincham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Altrincham vs Tamworth?
- The Footlab model makes Altrincham the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Tamworth.
- Where and when is Altrincham vs Tamworth played?
- Altrincham vs Tamworth is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The J. Davidson Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.