Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak: prediction and stats
Persian Gulf Pro LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Imam Khomeini Stadium, Arak
The Footlab AI model makes Aluminium Arak the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Mes Shahr-e Babak. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
On Elo ratings, Aluminium Arak has 1,683 points and Mes Shahr-e Babak 1,609.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aluminium Arak
4-3-3- 10R. Jabireh
- 9S. Bozorg
- 7A. Sadeghi
- 8A. Ghanbari
- 5A. Mukhtorov
- 6M. Motlaghzadeh
- 13M. Mahdavi
- 44S. Jafarikia
- 15M. Mousavi
- 4A. Houshmand
- 1M. Khalifeh
Mes Shahr-e Babak
4-4-2- 10A. Valizadeh
- 71G. Pourya
- 7M. Poureyvaz
- 8M. Tajik
- 5A. Enayatzadeh
- 6M. Raoufi Manesh
- 21M. Azhir
- 17A. Karbalaei
- 2M. Tarhani
- 3M. Mohammadi
- 1M. Ghavidel
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aluminium Arak have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Mes Shahr-e Babak have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Foolad FC(away) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | ZOB Ahan(home) | 0-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sanat Naft(away) | 1-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Fajr Sepasi(away) | 1-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Malavan(home) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Paykan(home) | 1-3 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sepahan FC(away) | 0-4 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Persepolis FC(home) | 0-3 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Foolad FC(away) | 1-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Nassaji Mazandaran(home) | 1-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Aluminium Arak score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mes Shahr-e Babak score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aluminium Arak | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Mes Shahr-e Babak | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aluminium Arak sit 7th in Persian Gulf Pro League (14 points from 11 matches) and Mes Shahr-e Babak sit 18th (5 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aluminium Arak | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
| 18 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 5 |
A question about Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aluminium Arak the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Mes Shahr-e Babak.
- Where and when is Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak played?
- Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak is played on November 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Imam Khomeini Stadium, in the Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.