Alverca vs Real: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga 3Regular Season - 21Kick-off on March 3, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
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What was the result of Alverca vs Real?
Alverca won 2-1 on March 3, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 39′Diogo CastroReal
- 71′Mohcine HassanAlverca
- 90′Marcos SilvaAlverca (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alverca have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Real have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Academica(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Oliveira Hospital(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Moncarapachense(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Caldas(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Moncarapachense(away) | 6-1 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Caldas(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Fontinhas(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Sporting CP B(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Alverca win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Real win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022 | Real 1-2 Alverca | Liga 3 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Alverca 2-1 Real | Liga 3 |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Real 1-1 Alverca | Liga 3 |
| Nov 8, 2019 | Alverca 0-2 Real | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Alverca score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Real | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy