America Mineiro vs Nautico Recife: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 9Kick-off on May 31, 2014 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Estádio Soares de Azevedo, Muriaé, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of America Mineiro vs Nautico Recife?
Nautico Recife won 1-3 on May 31, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 34′William AlvesNautico Recife
- 45′RobertoNautico Recife
- 48′VinaNautico Recife
- 55′Alessandro Faioli AmantinoAmerica Mineiro (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America Mineiro have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nautico Recife have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2014 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| May 23, 2014 | Santa Cruz(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 20, 2014 | Joinville(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| May 17, 2014 | Vila Nova(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| May 11, 2014 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2014 | Avai(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| May 25, 2014 | Parana(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| May 21, 2014 | Portuguesa(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| May 10, 2014 | Joinville(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| May 3, 2014 | Ceara(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
America Mineiro score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nautico Recife score 0.7 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America Mineiro | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nautico Recife | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
America Mineiro sit 19th in Serie B (11 points from 23 matches) and Nautico Recife sit 15th (31 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 39 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy