America-RN vs Grêmio Barueri: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 14Kick-off on August 1, 2012 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Estádio José Nazareno do Nascimento, Goianinha, Rio Grande do Norte
Full time
What was the result of America-RN vs Grêmio Barueri?
America-RN won 2-1 on August 1, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 32′Lúcio Teófilo da SilvaAmerica-RN
- 84′Max Brendon Costa PinheiroAmerica-RN
- 85′Thiago GentilGrêmio Barueri
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, America-RN have 7 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Grêmio Barueri have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2012 | Joinville(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 21, 2012 | Ipatinga(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2012 | Parana(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Ceara(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2012 | CRB(away) | 2-4 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2012 | Criciuma(home) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Jul 21, 2012 | São Caetano(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2012 | RB Bragantino(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Ipatinga(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2012 | Joinville(away) | 0-4 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
America-RN score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 13; Grêmio Barueri score 0.7 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America-RN | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/13 | 6/13 |
| Grêmio Barueri | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy