America-RN vs Santa Cruz: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 14Kick-off on August 2, 2014 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Arena das Dunas, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte
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What was the result of America-RN vs Santa Cruz?
Santa Cruz won 0-1 on August 2, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 33′Léo GamalhoSanta Cruz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America-RN have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Santa Cruz have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2014 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 19, 2014 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 16, 2014 | RB Bragantino(home) | 4-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 3, 2014 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| May 30, 2014 | Luverdense(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2014 | Ceara(home) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 19, 2014 | Vila Nova(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 16, 2014 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Jun 3, 2014 | Ponte Preta(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| May 31, 2014 | Joinville(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
America-RN score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America-RN | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy