America-RN vs Sousa: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 7Kick-off on July 17, 2021 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Arena das Dunas, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte
Full time
What was the result of America-RN vs Sousa?
America-RN won 4-1 on July 17, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 7′Adriano NapãoSousa
- 45′Weslley SmithAmerica-RN
- 45′Erick VarãoAmerica-RN
- 78′Patrick AllanAmerica-RN
- 90′AlvinhoAmerica-RN
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America-RN have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sousa have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2021 | Treze(away) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 3, 2021 | Uniclinic Atletico Clube(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 26, 2021 | Caucaia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2021 | ABC(home) | 2-3 | Serie D |
| Jun 13, 2021 | Campinense(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2021 | Caucaia(home) | 7-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 4, 2021 | Central SC(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 27, 2021 | Treze(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 23, 2021 | Campinense(home) | 3-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Campinense(home) | 0-0 | Paraibano |
How many goals should we expect?
America-RN score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sousa score 1.4 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America-RN | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Sousa | 1.4 | 0.6 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
America-RN sit 2nd in Serie D (21 points from 10 matches) and Sousa sit 5th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | America-RN | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
| 5 | Sousa | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy