Match

América W vs Toluca W: prediction and stats

Liga MX FemenilQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 12, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

América WToluca W

The Footlab AI model makes América W the favourite at 84%, against 10% for a draw and 6% for Toluca W. The most likely score is 3-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,160 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win América W vs Toluca W?

América W starts as the favourite with a 285-point Elo edge (1,985 vs 1,700).

84%10%6%
América W winDrawToluca W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for América W vs Toluca W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

América W

4-3-3
  1. 17Geyse Ferreira
  2. 5G. García
  3. 10S. Camberos
  1. 25J. Gutierrez
  2. 18N. Antonio
  3. 19M. Saldívar
  1. 2Haas Isa
  2. 15Karina Rodríguez
  3. 3Kimberly Rodríguez
  4. 26K. Luna
  1. 12I. Velasco

Toluca W

4-3-3
  1. 22S. Vazquez
  2. 9E. Le Sommer
  3. 7D. Espinosa
  1. 10B. Cuevas
  2. 25F. Robert
  3. 6A. Henry
  1. 2K. Martínez
  2. 16L. Fernandez
  3. 4Y. Rodriguez Perez
  4. 13V. López
  1. 12V. Martinez

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 03:13 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, América W have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Toluca W have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

América W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Guadalajara W(away)3-1Liga MX Femenil
Nov 1, 2026Atlante W(home)6-0Liga MX Femenil
Oct 24, 2026Atlético San Luis W(away)7-0Liga MX Femenil
Oct 19, 2026Pachuca W(home)2-1Liga MX Femenil
Oct 3, 2026Monterrey W(away)3-4Liga MX Femenil
Toluca W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Querétaro W(away)1-1Liga MX Femenil
Oct 31, 2026Guadalajara W(home)2-3Liga MX Femenil
Oct 25, 2026Cruz Azul W(away)2-1Liga MX Femenil
Oct 20, 2026Santos Laguna W(home)0-0Liga MX Femenil
Oct 5, 2026Pachuca W(away)2-1Liga MX Femenil

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 América W wins, 2 draws, 1 Toluca W win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026América W 4-3 Toluca WLiga MX Femenil
May 8, 2026Toluca W 1-7 América WLiga MX Femenil
Mar 17, 2026América W 2-0 Toluca WLiga MX Femenil
Sep 23, 2025Toluca W 3-3 América WLiga MX Femenil
Apr 18, 2025Toluca W 4-3 América WLiga MX Femenil
Jul 30, 2024América W 2-2 Toluca WLiga MX Femenil

Last archived meeting: América W vs Toluca W on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

América W score 4.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca W score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
América W4.51.169/1515/15
Toluca W2.21.7510/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

América W sit 1st in Liga MX Femenil (37 points from 14 matches) and Toluca W sit 6th (27 points from 14 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1América W141211631337
6Toluca W14833302127

A question about América W vs Toluca W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for América W vs Toluca W?
The Footlab AI model makes América W the favourite at 84%, against 10% for a draw and 6% for Toluca W.
Where and when is América W vs Toluca W played?
América W vs Toluca W is played on November 12, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Banorte, in the Liga MX Femenil.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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