Amkar vs Irtysh Omsk: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A SilverDivision A Silver - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Zvezda, Perm'
The Footlab model makes Amkar the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Irtysh Omsk. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amkar vs Irtysh Omsk?
Amkar starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amkar have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Irtysh Omsk have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torpedo Miass(away) | 0-5 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(home) | 5-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Moskva II(away) | 3-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tyumen(away) | 2-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Moskva II(away) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zenit 2(away) | 1-6 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Torpedo Miass(home) | 2-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(away) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Amkar win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Irtysh Omsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Irtysh Omsk 0-3 Amkar | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| May 28, 2023 | Irtysh Omsk 3-2 Amkar | Second League - Group 4 |
| Apr 13, 2023 | Amkar 1-3 Irtysh Omsk | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Irtysh Omsk 1-0 Amkar | Second League - Group 4 |
| Jun 1, 2022 | Amkar 2-0 Irtysh Omsk | Second League - Group 4 |
| Jul 23, 2021 | Irtysh Omsk 1-2 Amkar | Second League - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Amkar score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Irtysh Omsk score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amkar | 1.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Irtysh Omsk | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amkar sit 2nd in Second League A - Division A Silver (12 points from 5 matches) and Irtysh Omsk sit 6th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Amkar | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Irtysh Omsk | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amkar vs Irtysh Omsk?
- The Footlab model makes Amkar the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Irtysh Omsk.
- Where and when is Amkar vs Irtysh Omsk played?
- Amkar vs Irtysh Omsk is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Zvezda, in the Second League A - Division A Silver.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.