Amkar vs Torpedo Miass: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A SilverDivision A Silver - 12Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Zvezda, Perm'
The Footlab model makes Amkar the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Torpedo Miass. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amkar vs Torpedo Miass?
Amkar starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,836 vs 1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amkar have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Torpedo Miass have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torpedo Miass(away) | 0-5 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(home) | 5-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Moskva II(away) | 3-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tyumen(away) | 2-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Amkar(home) | 5-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tyumen(away) | 3-4 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Izhevsk(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Irtysh Omsk(away) | 0-2 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zenit 2(home) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Amkar win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Torpedo Miass win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torpedo Miass 5-0 Amkar | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Amkar 1-0 Torpedo Miass | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2023 | Torpedo Miass 0-0 Amkar | Cup |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Amkar 1-1 Torpedo Miass | Second League - Group 4 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Torpedo Miass 2-1 Amkar | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Amkar 4-0 Torpedo Miass | Second League - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Miass vs Amkar on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Amkar score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Miass score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amkar | 1.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Torpedo Miass | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amkar sit 2nd in Second League A - Division A Silver (12 points from 5 matches) and Torpedo Miass sit 7th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Amkar | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Torpedo Miass | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amkar vs Torpedo Miass?
- The Footlab model makes Amkar the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Torpedo Miass.
- Where and when is Amkar vs Torpedo Miass played?
- Amkar vs Torpedo Miass is played on October 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Zvezda, in the Second League A - Division A Silver.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.