Ammerthal vs Großbardorf: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 17Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Ammerthal, Ammerthal
The Footlab model makes Ammerthal the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Großbardorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ammerthal vs Großbardorf?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Ammerthal (1,650) and Großbardorf (1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ammerthal have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Großbardorf have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gebenbach(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Stadeln(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Weiden(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bayern Hof(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordlingen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ammerthal win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Großbardorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2023 | Ammerthal 3-2 Großbardorf | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Großbardorf 4-2 Ammerthal | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Ammerthal vs Großbardorf on May 14, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Ammerthal score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Großbardorf score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammerthal | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Großbardorf | 1.3 | 1.4 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Ammerthal | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 43 | 51 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ammerthal vs Großbardorf?
- The Footlab model makes Ammerthal the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Großbardorf.
- Where and when is Ammerthal vs Großbardorf played?
- Ammerthal vs Großbardorf is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Ammerthal, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 2026WeidenvsNeudrossenfeld
- Oct 30, 2026KornburgvsCham
- Oct 31, 2026Ingolstadt IIvsFortuna Regensburg
- Oct 31, 2026StadelnvsNordlingen
- Oct 31, 2026Bayern HofvsEintracht Bamberg
- Oct 31, 2026ASV NeumarktvsDJK Bamberg
- Oct 31, 2026GebenbachvsWürzburger FV
- Oct 31, 2026Jahn Regensburg IIvsViktoria Aschaffenburg