Andorra vs Azerbaijan: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Nacional, Andorra la Vella
The Footlab AI model makes Azerbaijan the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Andorra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Azerbaijan wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Andorra vs Azerbaijan?
Azerbaijan starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,345 vs 1,223).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Andorra vs Azerbaijan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Andorra
4-4-2- 10G. López
- 11Albert Rosas
- 16Éric De Las Heras Izquierdo
- 3Pau Babot
- 7Álex Martínez
- 14Jordi Aláez
- 5Max Llovera
- 15Moisés San Nicolás
- 19Joel Guillén
- 21M. Garcia
- 12Iker Álvarez
Azerbaijan
5-4-1- 10M. Emreli
- 6A. Xaybulayev
- 7T. Bayramov
- 20A. Isaev
- 8E. Mahmudov
- 2R. Daşdəmirov
- 4R. Məmmədov
- 3R. Abbasov
- 15B. Hüseynov
- 21Q. Alıyev
- 1E. Balayev
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Andorra have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Azerbaijan have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Gibraltar(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malta(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Lithuania(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gibraltar(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Malta(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Liechtenstein(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lithuania(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Liechtenstein(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lithuania(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Tajikistan(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Andorra score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Azerbaijan score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andorra | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Azerbaijan | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Andorra vs Azerbaijan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Andorra vs Azerbaijan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Azerbaijan the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Andorra.
- Where and when is Andorra vs Azerbaijan played?
- Andorra vs Azerbaijan is played on November 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Nacional, in the Friendlies.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.