Andorra vs Gibraltar: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League5Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Estadi Nacional, Andorra la Vella
The Footlab AI model makes Andorra the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Gibraltar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Andorra wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Andorra vs Gibraltar?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Andorra (1,223) and Gibraltar (1,169).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Andorra vs Gibraltar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Andorra
4-4-2- 10G. López
- 11Albert Rosas
- 3Pau Babot
- 16Éric De Las Heras Izquierdo
- 7Álex Martínez
- 14Jordi Aláez
- 5Max Llovera
- 15Moisés San Nicolás
- 19Joel Guillén
- 21M. Garcia
- 12Iker Álvarez
Gibraltar
4-3-3- 10T. De Barr
- 4N. Pozo
- 9D. Borge
- 8K. Ronan
- 11J. Scanlon
- 5D. Bent
- 6B. Lopes
- 2E. Jolley
- 15P. McClafferty
- 3J. Valarino
- 23J. Hankins
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Andorra have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Gibraltar have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malta(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Lithuania(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gibraltar(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Malta(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Kosovo(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Liechtenstein(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Malta(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Andorra(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sao Tome and Principe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Cayman Islands(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Andorra wins, 2 draws, 2 Gibraltar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gibraltar 0-0 Andorra | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra | Friendlies |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2021 | Andorra 0-0 Gibraltar | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Andorra score 0.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gibraltar score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andorra | 0.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Gibraltar | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Andorra sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League (1 point from 3 matches) and Gibraltar sit 2nd (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 3 | Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Andorra vs Gibraltar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Andorra vs Gibraltar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Andorra the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Gibraltar.
- Where and when is Andorra vs Gibraltar played?
- Andorra vs Gibraltar is played on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Estadi Nacional, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.