Ankara Demirspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)TCDD Ankara Demirspor Stadı, Ankara
The Footlab model makes Ankara Demirspor the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for 1461 Trabzon FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ankara Demirspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Ankara Demirspor (1,632) and 1461 Trabzon FK (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankara Demirspor have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; 1461 Trabzon FK have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Güzide Gebzespor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 4-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kırklarelispor(away) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Isparta 32 Spor(home) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Adanaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ankara Demirspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 1461 Trabzon FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor 1-0 1461 Trabzon FK | 2. Lig |
| Oct 5, 2025 | 1461 Trabzon FK 3-4 Ankara Demirspor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1461 Trabzon FK 1-0 Ankara Demirspor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Ankara Demirspor 1-3 1461 Trabzon FK | 2. Lig |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1461 Trabzon FK 2-1 Ankara Demirspor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Ankara Demirspor 0-0 1461 Trabzon FK | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Ankara Demirspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ankara Demirspor score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; 1461 Trabzon FK score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Demirspor | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| 1461 Trabzon FK | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ankara Demirspor sit 9th in 2. Lig (49 points from 34 matches) and 1461 Trabzon FK sit 11th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ankara Demirspor | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 49 |
| 11 | 1461 Trabzon FK | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 51 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ankara Demirspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?
- The Footlab model makes Ankara Demirspor the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for 1461 Trabzon FK.
- Where and when is Ankara Demirspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK played?
- Ankara Demirspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK is played on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at TCDD Ankara Demirspor Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.