Ankara Demirspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)TCDD Ankara Demirspor Stadı, Ankara
The Footlab model makes Ankara Demirspor the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Karacabey Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ankara Demirspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Ankara Demirspor (1,643) and Karacabey Belediyespor (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankara Demirspor have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Karacabey Belediyespor have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Güzide Gebzespor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 4-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ankara Demirspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Karacabey Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Karacabey Belediyespor 2-1 Ankara Demirspor | 2. Lig |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Ankara Demirspor 3-1 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Karacabey Belediyespor 1-3 Ankara Demirspor | 2. Lig |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Ankara Demirspor 2-1 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Karacabey Belediyespor 2-2 Ankara Demirspor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Ankara Demirspor 3-1 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Karacabey Belediyespor vs Ankara Demirspor on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ankara Demirspor score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karacabey Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Demirspor | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Karacabey Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ankara Demirspor sit 9th in 2. Lig (49 points from 34 matches) and Karacabey Belediyespor sit 13th (41 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ankara Demirspor | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 49 |
| 13 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ankara Demirspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Ankara Demirspor the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Karacabey Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Ankara Demirspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor played?
- Ankara Demirspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor is played on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at TCDD Ankara Demirspor Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.