Ankaragücü vs Ankara Demirspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara
The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Ankara Demirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ankaragücü vs Ankara Demirspor?
Ankaragücü starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankaragücü have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Ankara Demirspor have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | İskenderunspor(home) | 4-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | İnegölspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kepezspor(away) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Güzide Gebzespor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Ankaragücü score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ankara Demirspor score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Ankara Demirspor | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ankaragücü sit 6th in 2. Lig (63 points from 36 matches) and Ankara Demirspor sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ankaragücü | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 63 |
| 9 | Ankara Demirspor | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ankaragücü vs Ankara Demirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Ankara Demirspor.
- Where and when is Ankaragücü vs Ankara Demirspor played?
- Ankaragücü vs Ankara Demirspor is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Eryaman Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.