AO Itabaiana vs Caxias: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 7Kick-off on May 24, 2025 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Etelvino Mendonça, Itabaiana, Sergipe
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What was the result of AO Itabaiana vs Caxias?
AO Itabaiana won 2-1 on May 24, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 38′IagoCaxias
- 67′LeilsonAO Itabaiana
- 76′RobinhoAO Itabaiana
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AO Itabaiana have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Caxias have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Retrô(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| May 12, 2025 | Figueirense(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| May 3, 2025 | Tombense(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Apr 27, 2025 | São Bernardo(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Ypiranga-RS(away) | 2-3 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | São Bernardo(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| May 11, 2025 | Retrô(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| May 5, 2025 | Figueirense(away) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Confiança(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
AO Itabaiana score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caxias score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AO Itabaiana | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Caxias | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AO Itabaiana sit 19th in Serie C (17 points from 18 matches) and Caxias sit 14th (24 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Caxias | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 24 |
| 19 | AO Itabaiana | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy