AO Itabaiana vs Lagarto: result 1-0 and analysis
Sergipano1st Phase - 7Kick-off on March 1, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Etelvino Mendonça, Itabaiana, Sergipe
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What was the result of AO Itabaiana vs Lagarto?
AO Itabaiana won 1-0 on March 1, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 19′OtávioAO Itabaiana
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AO Itabaiana have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Lagarto have 2, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | Sergipe(away) | 0-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 5, 2020 | Frei Paulistano(away) | 1-2 | Sergipano |
| Jan 28, 2020 | Confiança(home) | 0-1 | Sergipano |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Boca Júnior(away) | 1-2 | Sergipano |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Dorense(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | Frei Paulistano(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 19, 2020 | Volta Redonda(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Sergipe(home) | 1-3 | Sergipano |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Boca Júnior(away) | 0-1 | Sergipano |
| Jan 21, 2020 | Confiança(away) | 0-0 | Sergipano |
How many goals should we expect?
AO Itabaiana score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lagarto score 0.6 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AO Itabaiana | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Lagarto | 0.6 | 0.7 | 4 | 2/7 | 1/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AO Itabaiana sit 2nd in Sergipano (17 points from 9 matches) and Lagarto sit 3rd (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AO Itabaiana | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy